With a steady growing number of foreign
immigrants in Denmark several comparative accounts and analyses are made. Here
you should notice that comparisons can give unwanted results. There are wrong
methods and also directly unfair comparisons. The lasts mentioned have to be
avoided.
Primo 2005 the authorities in Denmark discussed
if the public still should be presented for comparative accounts of crime rates
in the future, and if these accounts eventually should be published yearly or
just every second year.
an account in October 2005 (cf. http://www.jm.dk/image.asp?page=image&objno=73956) of the crimes in
2004. This account should
divide the crimes between Danish and individuals with foreign background. As
the population account just include the first generation of descendants of
immigrants, it implies that the crimes of the later generations are accounted as
Danish crimes. But it is even worser that the basic of population just include
about the half of group with foreign origine (until now and the divergence
widens all the time). This implies that the criminality of the immigrants is
being even estimated much too high. Expressed very simple: If there are few
immigrants, then the distribution of criminality seems much bigger related to the
size of total immigrantgroup. That crime acts carried out by later generations
have been accounted on the Danish entry draw a little in the other direction.
That is the reason why the account of charges in 2004 from Ministry of Justice
unfortunately is not be trusted.
Fundamentally this is caused by
the registration upon the concepts of immigrants and descedants
that the total account is based on. It is not adequate and unequivocal. The
immigrants do not have a supplus-criminality of more than five times, as the
account obviously should show, but a supplus –criminality of about 2-4 time
depending on which offences of Criminal Code we concentrate. It is correct that
supplus-criminality are the biggest for crimes with more severe punishment.
We have corrected the total
accounts of most foreign foreigners (corrected for 25 years) on : http://www.lilliput-information.com/uscan.html
So, you see it is a horribly
dilemma the authorities have put themselves into.
The account of unemployment:
(these
defective unemployment accounts are made in all EU member-states)
The unemployment rate is accounted as the
percentage of the number of unemployed members of an unemployment insurance
divided with number of all the members of the unemployment insurance in the
entire working force – defined as the part of the population supplying their
skills on the labour market.
The Danes have a considerable large part of the
population in the working force, 76 p.c. in 2001. We could read in a splashed
reporting in Berlingske Tidende 18/08/2001 that the unemployment rate of Danish
men was 4 p.c. and that of the Danish women was 5 p.c.
Let’s translate that:
I.e. 56 p.e. of
non-Western immigrants were unemployed in 2001 against 67 p.e. in 1994…
plus a lot more
among the non-Western immigrants of whom just about 38-40 percent were in the
labour force. The rest (60-62 percent) were not children and young ones being
educated or pensioners outside the labour force. 0-24 years old immigrants and
their offspring amounted about 41 p.e., and the pensioners 3.5 p.e. of the
entire group of immigrants, all in all 44.5 percent in 2001.
If we assume that immigrants live in Denmark on
the same conditions as the Danes the difference from 38-40 percent and up to 76
percent were also unemployed or definitely 60 percent minus 44.5 percent = 15.5
percent
or perhaps 17.5 percent have to be added to 56
percent to make equality.
I.e. more and more non-Western immigrants have
become clients on social security or clients on early retire-ment. It is
actually the same for Danes, because in reality there is nothing but recession,
and the times get worser.
We have not shown any unemployment figures for
non-Western immigrant women, but their
employment frequency is substantial lower, and the unemployment among these
women is considerable higher than
the corresponding among non-Western immigrant
men.
(Are being abolished in
Denmark, and in several European countries you find none.
Perhaps the word “crime rate”
should be abolished too, just to be sure that comparative analyses do not
emerge again.)
criminals themselves, to the groups of ages
among them, and to the total population. The number of criminals and the
distribution of ages within the different main categories of crime acts can be
of interest for investigation of similar crimes later on, and also in the
preventing work to impede future crimes.
If you want to compare the crime rates between
immigrants and Danes a lot of relations can be involved to secure that the
drawn picture is realistic. The crime rates are highest among young and younger
individuals.
Therefore it is not surprising that “immigrants”
and their “offspring” (in the first generation) in the accounts of Danmarks
Statistik of January 1st 1998 and 2003 show that 40.3 p.c.
respectively 52.2 p.c. were less than 30 years. This result in a heavier weight
of the young ones in the accounts compared with the Danes who only had 37.7
p.c. and 36.6 p.c. respectively. But the Danes shall not be made responsible
for the crime acts made by non-Western immigrants. The reason why the
non-Western immigrants have relatively more young and younger individuals is that
the immigrants give birth to more than the double number of children in
average, and also because it definitely is the younger people who dominate
among the immigrating individuals.
The rapid growing share of
people less than 30 years - from 40.4 p.c. in 1998 to 52.2 p.c. in 2003 - could
easily get the amount of crimes to increase further. If this should be the
truth we hope it shall not be hidden.
The number of immigrants and their offspring are
accounted with the limitation that all later generations than
the first of children are accounted as Danes,
Danish citizens and they are mentioned as new-Danes. We realize that in spite of
the definition of a Dane by the Law of Citizenship – a person who is a Danish Citizen and who has a least one parent who has
been born in Denmark and who is a Danish citizens – the content
has been watered down so much that it is possible by the use of the altered
account of population from 1991 that much more than the half of all non-Western
immigrants and their children are counted as Danes.
This implies that the original population of
Danes in the accounts used to comparative analyses are being given the
responsibility of the crime acts that in reality were done by non-Western
immigrants and their children, even when the comparisons is being done by
accounting correctly relatively to the amounts of groups of population.
Interpols’ method of crime rate accounting that
compare the number of crime acts in the different populations and groups of
population with the sizes of the groups are invariable as long as it is of any
interest to know if 150 cases of rape on the island Anholt or the same number
in Denmark as a whole in the same period has to alarm the most, and also to
look behind the distribution and the reasons behind these crime acts.
More details on: http://www.lilliput-information.com/crim.html
and http://www.lilliput-information.com/emgintkrim.html
As we notice the
distribution of crimes among the immigrants and their offspring does not seem
to decrease at all as time goes, on the contrary it seems to increase after a
longer stay, also dominated by unemployment, a lot of people find it important
to get the crime distribution accounted within the two groups:
Western citizens included Danes on the one side
and non-Western immigrants and their offspring on the other side.
The crime
rate among non-Western immigrants is of course then reduced a great deal. And
gradually as the immigration continues, and the foreign excess of births over
deaths increases in this country the crime rate among the foreigners increases.
The paradox is then that you will read the
opposite in the official accounts.
The
distribution of births:
(between foreigners and Danes is just as blurred as
the respective distributions in all the other EU member-states)
non-Western
immigrants give birth to fewer children than they actually do.
The fertility is the number of children women
in the different ages of birth expect to give birth to and have given birth to.
The
fertility was 1.377 in 1983, when the immigration was speeded up with the new
Law of foreigners, and later on the fertility has most likely fallen further.
International
investigations by UN and other organizations show respectively that the
fertility changes by immigration to a Western country. The scarce living
conditions have been given the most important impact on the relatively large
number of births in non-Western countries compared with the West. By
immigration to the West a marked change do begin. But the number of children per women increases
instead caused by the better standards of living - perhaps you just notice one
of a lot irreversible processes.
we will be exposed in a correct made
interview-investigation and a correct account of the average number of children
per immigrated non-Western woman.
”The Movements of the Population” from Danmarks
Statistik 2003 shows that ”immigrants give birth to 2.550 child, their
offspring to 1.776 and “Danmark” 1.674 child in average per woman. “Danmark” is
a little funny and irrelevant category of collection here – collection of
originale Danes’ births, naturalized’s births and the births of the naturalized
children. The unscientific concepts ”immigrants” and their ”offspring” were
introduced in 1991 even though they did covered the issue. The issue should be
to describe what the population in Denmark is compounded of. By those special
concepts the deciding powers managed to have the foreigners’ births called
Danish in the accounts. All most at the same time the number of naturalizations
was increased to the record large number from 1995. This resulted in an decreasing
number of registered foreign citizens from the year 2001 in which the number of
new immigrant exceeded 20,000. The large number of naturalizations simply
exceeded the number of new immigrant every year from this year on.
Precisely
the same in Denmark, in a smaller scale.