"Fertilitet-undersøgelse efter ny metode"
Såfremt nedenstående abstract hentet fra Socialforskningsinstituttet vedrører undersøgelsen, som E. Vesselbo har kommenteret i aviserne og på TV ugen sluttende den 5. november 2000, er der tale om noget fuldstændig værdiløst materiale.
"Cirka 700 nydanskere med oprindelse i Tyrkiet, Pakistan og det tidligere Jugoslavien plus 15 nydanskere fra de samme minoritetsgrupper, hvoraf de sidstnævnte har deltaget i dybtgående intensive interview. Nydanskere er blevet den politiske korrekte (ganskevist vildledende) betegnelse for personer, der har fået tildelt dansk statsborgerskab ved lov.
Abstract er hentet fra Internettet på
http://www.sfi.dkGarbi Schmidt & Vibeke Jakobsen: 20 år i Danmark. En undersøgelse af nydanskeres situation og erfaringer. Socialforskningsinstituttet 00:11. 322 sider. ISBN 87-7487-646-5. 245,00 kr. inkl. moms
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Foreløbig engelsk kommentar forbliver uændret
In Denmark we have not got an official correct account of the number immigrantes living in the country. Now the authorities try to make a better basic of the prognoses of the population by estimating the demografic parameter of fertility among foreign women instead of using figure calculated by U.N. Fertility is the average number of children born by women.
Primo November 2000 they published a report that assume the idea that fertility among the foreigners adjust to the fertility among Danish women from the second generation of foreigners, therefore we must assume, they have made an analysis based on the used sample of 700 covering "time-period of stay in Denmark" and "total number of born children".
We have not found time to read the report yet, but we certainly have a few relevant questions inspired by the reports in the Press:
Was the sample of 700 made random, and how was the parameters secured estimated unbiased?
How was the selection of information managed - by letter included reply-rates or with help from the local authorities controling by the Central Personal Number (no more personal!) ?
As a new investigation how was the information registered?
Was 700 asked by a questionaire, and was the information controled to be the truth in any way?
Were the immigrants asked about their wishes of having a specific number of children, or were they asked after having born all their children, now included in the third generation?
We have to ask as we notice that not all the quetioned are not of an age beyoung the ages of birth giving.
Was the way most Pakistanians and Turks marry by finding their bride in the homeland included or excluded from the analyses?
Which test was used, and how was it used to draw the conclusion that the foreigners do not have more children than the Danish women, provided they are included in the second generation of immigrants in Denmark?