(alle væsentlige og mest aktuelle fertilitetsrater på
jorden er medtaget nedenfor)
68-ere lever i en ønskeverden, og derfor forveksler 68-ere virkeligheden med deres egne begrænsede tanker. Mange folk i erhvervslivet vil gerne have omkostningerne ned (men er bange for fagforeningerne, der indgår massivt i ejerkredsen – i hvert fald i de nordiske lande) og har længe klaget over vort skæve uddannelsessystem, der fortsat henviser 2 ud af 3 til den offentlige sektor og gør flere og flere arbejdsløse.
Når der sendes en mængder oplysninger ud om, hvorledes børnefødslerne reduceres i den tredje verden, så tag dem med en gran salt. Noget tyder på at det børnebegrænsningsprojekt de kørte ”med succes” i Vesten vil mere eller mindre mislykkes i den tredje verden.
Endvidere er det således, at selvom begrundelserne derude for de mange børn bl.a. har et falsk såkaldt forsørgelses-argument, så påbyder religionen dem at føde mange børn.
Det er endvidere således, at immigranter er fortrinsvis unge og børnefødende. I tillæg er der en klar tendens til netop ikke at reducere børneflokken, selvom økonomien bedres - en irreversibel kulturel proces. Meget tyder endog på, at netop velfærdsfremgangen ved at flytte til Vesten fremskynder fertiliteten yderligere. Desuden reduceres dødeligheden betydeligt i Vesten.
Således konstateredes fra 1999 til 2004 af Københavns Kommune, at børn af indvandrere netop fødte 10 pct. flere børn end forældrene over en 5 års periode (jfr. Søndagsavisen den 25/1-2004)
Når der nedenfor er anført nogle gennemsnitlige fødselstal, også for vesterlændinge, skal det noteres, at der er tale om såkaldte Total Fertilitet Rater. Intet sted i Europa vover man så meget som at nævne etnisk fertilitet (det er vedtaget tilsyneladende i det skjulte), selvom indvandringen selvfølgelig i gennemsnit øger den samlede fertilitet kunstigt.
Hermed kan 68-eren om nogle år, når flere indsigtsfulde er faldet fra, bilde børnene og de unge ind, at nu er fertiliteten sandelig blevet bedre igen.
Ja, bortset fra i England, hvor etniske fertilitetsrater bruges helt formelt inden sundhedsvæsenet.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
D.v.s. der falder selvfølgelig et par stykker af i farten (end ikke 68-eren er fejlfri, selvom han tror det):
..et par citater:
I USA udregnes fertilitet selvfølgelig som procenter:
NCHS http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/03facts/revisesrates.htm
For
Immediate Release: August 4, 2003
"..The
new report shows that the major trends previously reported - such as the
dramatic decline in teenage births -– were also present when the rates were
revised. Revised birth rates confirm
the steady declines over the decade of the 1990s. Rates fell to historic low
levels, with sizable declines recorded for teenagers in all age and population
groups. The overall rate for teenagers 15-19 years fell 27 percent between 1991
and 2001. The rate
for black
teenagers plummeted 37 percent. The downward trends for American Indian and
Hispanic teenagers are much larger on the basis of the revised rates compared
with the previously published rates. The birth rate for American
Indian
teenagers fell 33 percent and the rate for Hispanic teenagers dropped 17
percent, according to the revised rates compared with decreases of 22 percent
and 13 percent, respectively, based on postcensal population estimates derived
from the 1990 census.."
http://www.floria-publications.com/italy/life_and_customs/persistent_drop_in_
fertility_res.htm
:
"..In
no West European country did the rate reach 2.1 — the marker that, demographers
say, means an exact replenishment of the population. By contrast, the United
States
had a 2.0
rate, which demographers attribute to greater immigration.."
http://www.apsoc.ox.ac.uk/Oxpop/publications%20files/wp07.pdf
"..However,
most of the bigger European countries (France, but not Norway, Ireland and
Iceland) themselves have substantial immigrant minorities with higher birth
rates. At least 10% of births in major European countries are to women born
abroad or of foreign nationality. More important, the higher birth rates of
immigrant and foreign women inflate the national totals. Thus in England and
Wales in 1996, where 13% of all births were to mothers born outside the UK, the
overall TFR of 1.74 falls to 1.67 if the fertility of women born abroad is
excluded (see ONS Birth Statistics Series FM1 No 25, table 9.4). In the case of
Germany the effect is more subdued: in 1996 the national TFR of 1.31 would fall
to 1.28 without the contribution of women of foreign nationality (Bevölkerung
und Erwerbstätigkeit 1998 R1 F1 table 1.3.7). Because of the negligible numbers
of ethnic minority population in the Republic of Ireland, this effect can be
ignored in that case.."
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Oplysningerne i foregående afsnit er stærkt underestimerede - der bortses fra alt om naturaliserede og deres børn.
18-25 pct. af en fødselsårgang i de kontinentale vesteuropæiske lande fødes af de fremmede. D.v.s. at den samlede fertilitet - som er angivet her f.eks. til 1,7 - skal reduceres til ca. 1,2 i de nordiske land og til omkring 1,0 i Tyskland og de europæiske middelhavslandene. Se http://www.lilliput-information.com/ferteu.html og http://www.lilliput-information.com/fertty.html
De tre væsenligste årsager
til den lave fertilitet blandt vesteuropæiske kvinder er:
1. I gennemsnit fødes det første barn omkring kvindens 28. år - herefter kniber det med at få flere børn.
2. 15-20 pct. af kvinderne i 40-årsalderen i de vestlige lande har ingen børn - dette tal er steget væsentligt.
3. Aborterne er atter steget til at udgøre mere end 15.000 ud af en fødselsårgang på 68.000-70.000 i Danmark.
For så vidt er 2. kendetegnende i udpræget grad for ledige og udstødte stameuropæere fra arbejdsmarkedet, som ikke tør sætte børn i verden.
Fertilitet for det meste af verden:
Countries
in order of Total Fertility Rate (children):
Rank
Country Total Fertility Rate (children)
http://www.alsagerschool.co.uk/subjects/sub_content/geography/Gpop/HTMLENH/stats/fer.htm
1 Gaza 7.4
children
2 Niger 7.4
children
3 Angola
7.2 children
4 Marshall
Islands 7.2 children
5 Yemen 7.2
children
6 Somalia
7.0 children
7 Western
Sahara 7.0 children
8
Afghanistan 6.9 children
9 Burkina
Faso 6.9 children
10 Togo 6.9
children
11 Uganda
6.9 children
12 Benin
6.8 children
13 Burundi
6.8 children
14 Comoros
6.8 children
15 Malawi
6.7 children
16 Mali 6.7
children
17 Zaire
6.7 children
18 Ethiopia
6.6 children
19
Mozambique 6.5 children
20 Sierra
Leone 6.5 children
21 Liberia
6.4 children
22 Libya
6.4 children
23 Saudi
Arabia 6.4 children
24 Tanzania
6.3 children
25 Maldives
6.2 children
26 Nigeria
6.2 children
27 Oman 6.2
children
28 Rwanda
6.2 children
29 Eritrea
6.1 children
30 Laos 6.1
children
31
Madagascar 6.1 children
32 Zambia
6.1 children
33 Senegal
6.0 children
34 Cameroon
5.9 children
35 Chad 5.9
children
36
Equatorial Guinea 5.9 children
37 Gambia
5.9 children
38 Cambodia
5.8 children
39 Djibouti
5.8 children
40
Guinea-Bissau 5.8 children
41 Cote
d'Ivoire 5.7 children
42 Guinea
5.7 children
43 Iraq 5.7
children
44 Solomon
Islands 5.7 children
45 Bhutan
5.6 children
46 Jordan
5.6 children
47 Pakistan
5.6 children
48 Ghana
5.5 children
49 Kenya
5.4 children
50
Mauritania 5.4 children
51 Namibia
5.4 children
52 Sao Tome
and Principe 5.4 children
53 West
Bank 5.4 children
54 Congo
5.3 children
55 Vanuatu
5.3 children
56 Honduras
5.2 children
57 Lesotho
5.2 children
58 Central
African Republic 5.1 children
59
Guatemala 5.1 children
60 Gabon
5.0 children
61 Sudan
5.0 children
62
Swaziland 4.9 children
63 Bolivia
4.8 children
64 Haiti
4.8 children
65 Western
Samoa 4.8 children
66 Iran 4.7
children
67
Papua-New Guinea 4.7 children
68 Syria
4.7 children
69 Botswana
4.6 children
70
Federated States of Micronesia 4.6 children
71 Nepal
4.6 children
72
Nicaragua 4.6 children
73 Belize
4.5 children
74 Paraguay
4.5 children
75 Algeria
4.4 children
76 Zimbabwe
4.4 children
77 Qatar
4.3 children
78
Philippines 4.1 children
79 French
Guiana 4.0 children
80 Myanmar
4.0 children
81 El
Salvador 3.9 children
82 Cape
Verde 3.8 children
83 Grenada
3.8 children
84 United
Arab Emirates 3.8 children
85
Tajikistan 3.7 children
86
Bangladesh 3.6 children
87 Ecuador
3.6 children
88 Egypt
3.6 children
89 Mongolia
3.6 children
90 India
3.5 children
91 Peru 3.5
children
92 Brunei
3.4 children
93
Turkmenistan 3.4 children
94 Guam 3.3
children
95 Malaysia
3.3 children
96 Morocco
3.3 children
97 Tunisia
3.3 children
98 Uzbekistan
3.3 children
99
Dominican Republic 3.2 children
100 Lebanon
3.2 children
101 South
Africa 3.2 children
102 French
Polynesia 3.1 children
103 Kuwait
3.1 children
104 Mexico
3.1 children
105 Palau
3.1 children
106
Venezuela 3.1 children
107 Vietnam
3.1 children
108 Bahrain
3.0 children
109
Colombia 3.0 children
110 Fiji
3.0 children
111
Kyrgyzstan 3.0 children
112
Indonesia 2.9 children
113 Israel
2.9 children
114 Albania
2.8 children
115
Argentina 2.8 children
116 Costa
Rica 2.8 children
117 Panama
2.8 children
118
Suriname 2.7 children
119 Turkey
2.7 children
120 Guyana
2.6 children
121 Jamaica
2.6 children
122 New
Caledonia 2.6 children
123 Saint
Lucia 2.6 children
124 Brazil
2.5 children
125 Reunion
2.5 children
126 Chile
2.4 children
127 Korea,
North 2.4 children
128
St.Kitts-Nevis 2.4 children
129
St.Vincent and the Grenadines 2.4 children
130 Sri
Lanka 2.3 children
131 Uruguay
2.3 children
132
Guadeloupe 2.2 children
133
Azerbaijan 2.1 children
134 Cyprus
2.1 children
135 Iceland
2.1 children
136
Mauritius 2.1 children
137
Netherlands Antilles 2.1 children
138 Puerto
Rico 2.1 children
139
Seychelles 2.1 children
140
Dominica 2.0 children
141
Kazakhstan 2.0 children
142
Macedonia 2.0 children
143
Martinique 2.0 children
144 New
Zealand 2.0 children
145
Trinidad and Tobago 2.0 children
146 United
States 2.0 children
147 Bahamas
1.9 children
148 Ireland
1.9 children
149 Norway
1.9 children
150
Thailand 1.9 children
151
Australia 1.8 children
152 China 1.8
children
153 Finland
1.8 children
154 Malta
1.8 children
155 Moldova
1.8 children
156 Taiwan
1.8 children
157
Yugoslavia 1.8 children
158 Antigua
and Barbuda 1.7 children
159 Denmark
1.7 children
160 France
1.7 children
161 Korea,
South 1.7 children
162
Luxembourg 1.7 children
163
Singapore 1.7 children
164 United
Kingdom 1.7 children
165 Armenia
1.6 children
166
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1.6 children
167 Canada
1.6 children
168 Croatia
1.6 children
169 Poland
1.6 children
170 Sweden
1.6 children
171
Barbados 1.5 children
172 Belgium
1.5 children
173 Cuba
1.5 children
174 Hungary
1.5 children
175 Japan
1.5 children
176
Lithuania 1.5 children
177 Macao
1.5 children
178
Netherlands 1.5 children
179
Slovakia 1.5 children
180
Switzerland 1.5 children
181 Austria
1.4 children
182 Greece
1.4 children
183
Portugal 1.4 children
184 Ukraine
1.4 children
185 Belarus
1.3 children
186 Estonia
1.3 children
187 Georgia
1.3 children
188 Germany
1.3 children
189
Liechtenstein 1.3 children
190 Romania
1.3 children
191 Russia
1.3 children
192
Slovenia 1.3 children
193
Bulgaria 1.2 children
194 Czech
Republic 1.2 children
195 Italy
1.2 children
196 Latvia
1.2 children
197 Spain
1.2 children
198 San Marino 1.1 children