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More gold,
more paper and more state-debt Did metallic basis as international value standard solve any of the problems it is throught of to do
tomorrow Part 2 Mainstream history
continued: The task of maintaining stability within the bimetallic system, through
exercising control over the world's prices of gold and silver, fell to France.
The performance of this function imposed few problems in the years between
1815 and 1850, when demand and supply conditions for both metals were fairly
stable. There was some withdrawal of silver from circulation, as gold
production steadily declined, and its value appreciated relative to that of
silver, but France possessed relatively large reserves of both metals and was
easily able to absorb silver at the expense of gold without actually moving
to a silver standard. The United States was also legally on a bimetallic
standard for most of the 19th century. Until the 1830s, however,
the country really operated on a silver standard, because at 15 to 1 the
Americans mint ratio of silver to gold undervalued gold and led to its
disappearance from circulation (Greshams’ Law in details
above). But a de facto silver standard was inconvenient for a country
that traded primarily with another Britain, which was on a gold standard. It
was probably for this reason that the Coinage Acts of 1834 and 1837 reduced
the old content of the dollar and established a new mint ratio of 16 to 1.
Since this ratio was above the free market ratio, which generally settle
around the French mint ration of 15½ to 1, the previous trend towards a
silver standard was replaced by a movement to a de facto gold standard
similar to that found in Britain during the 18th century. The pressure on the bimetallic standard mounted after 1850, when the
discovery of substantial gold deposits in California[1]
and Australia produced dramatic changes in currency dealings and metal
markets. The relative price of gold fell, and the French mint ratio of 15½ to
1 proved to be inappropriate to the new world market situation for it
overvalued gold. As silver appreciated relative to gold, France absorbed
large quantities of gold and the French franc became a gold unit as Gresham’s
Law became operable. In an effort to stabilize the situation and promote an
international bimetallic system, France summoned a meeting of franc-using
nations 1865. As a result of this meeting, France, Belgium, Switzerland and
Italy agreed to regulate their currencies jointly (often referred to as the
Latin Monetary Union (end of mainstream history) – analogous to the first
stage EMS of the European Monetary Union). The agreement, however, did little
to alleviate the monetary pressure exerted on the bimetallic countries. Then prices
on commodities rose generally. Inflation was active. How inflation and
speculation become possible, and how they are accelerated: The private limited company was
not really widespread until the 1800s. Also the bank houses of the Absolute Monarchy
(which ruled in most states) were businesses owned by one man or by
partners. The private limited companies are introduced en mass in the 1800s.
Thereby you have to distinguish between physical and juridical persons, and
at the same time distinguish between the responsibility of a physical person
and a juridical subject. It was not my task to analyze the laws of
private limited companies in different countries, but to show how the clear
advantages of the private limited company turn to disaster for the society under
the industrialism and the so-called democracies from the mid 1800s. All laws
concerning the private limited company in the different countries are partly
different, but a lot of the substance, of the rights and the
responsibilities are rather common. Definitely common to such a degree that
a rough outline will be described here: The
theory or principles of the private limited company: A juridical subject with its
characteristics and rights. The private limited company gets a private life
that has to be protected. Here the deciding is its position as owner of a business,
its protection, and its free access to profit. The company owns some real
goods, factories, land and products. The share holders are directly related
to those goods, because they look upon themselves as members of a
co-operative society, and because the business of the company was not bigger
or more distant than they were able to keep the information up to date. The
stocks and shares and share certificates were pieces of evidence for a
certain share of the real goods of which revenue and profit were made. The
participants of the circle of share-holders share interest of certain common
aims. That is the reason why they join their efforts, and because each of the
share-holder is not economic strong enough. They appoint some participants – the biggest share-holders –
to form a board of directors that appoints a director/a president, sometimes
among the members of board of directors. In this way the board becomes some
kind of a deputy for the shareholders; the board has some duties to the
shareholders. It is not without some functions, but its whole existence is
caused by the private company. The shareholders are in a way a kind of
managers who are acting via delegation, but they feel and certainly have a
responsibility, even outside economics. The interest of the shareholders
are certainly not profit due to appreciation, and he even feels some kind of
moral responsibility that his goods must work in a honest pro-duction, not
even the profit of the year is of his primery interest. The share-holders’
relation to the company are lasting, they do not sell the shares, the price
of the share is just of interest in connection with inheritance or if
misfortunes forces him to sell, and share is often solid fixed for life. The
legislation concerning the private limited company was introduced several
decades after the private limited company had become wide-spread, and
describes the private limited company just as I did here. The task for the
legislation then is to regulate the relations between the share-holders, to
protect the minority and secure that the capital of share-holders is present
considering the credi- tors. Gradually a breach of confidence from the board of
directors from the management appears, and legislation then set up some
common rules on documents of general meeting, on the authority of the
company, and on some duties of the board, often expressed very vague. The
reality of the private limited company: Reality does not correspond to
this idyll. Life has denied the thought that the private limited companies
are just another kind of tradesmen. It has become a social organi-zation,
created for the advancement of some productive tasks. It is like a
municipality, it has a long duration, longer than the life of an individual,
independent of the share-holders, the board of directors, the management, the
labour. It is an expression of a wanted co-operation. It is something in
itself, and it gets itself means, management and labour. The most obvious differences between the municipality and the private
limited company is the way the organization is managed, its protected acces
to profit, and in the advantages of whom it is working. The tasks are often
different, but they don’t have to be. The company is not working primary to
satisfy neither the shareholders’ need of profit nor the need of the board of
directors to get higher salaries. A company does not have a private life or soul, nobody that can go to
prison and no reputation that can be sullied. In principle it is
irresponsible and amoral, because it is just an idea when all is said and
done. The tangible is its capital – that is limited and divided – but have to
be present. The share-holder has stopped being a manager, the intense connection
between him and the company and his pointing out of his friends and good
connections to the board of director has come to and end. He gives nothing to
the company but the amount of capital represented by the share. Often he has
not bought the share by subscription but from another share-holder. He has
been reduced to be a lender, he is almost on the same footing as the owner of
a bond. This is underlined by the divided shares in different categories,
preference-shares with cumulative interest, and ordinary shares with varying
interest, and we have the share-bond, and the preference-bond which is a
transition to bonds. We also have the deferred share[2]
that does not yield profit from the moment it is issued. Some improvements
have to take place, for example in the organization of sales or in the degree
of monopol before profit is received. In 1926 France and Belgium consolidated
the loose debt in form of state-bonds that supplemented the fixed interest
with a share in the profit from state-railroads and state-monopolies. The
company’s capital originated from loans, and in this way the primary
difference between the share and bond disappeared. The share is a borrow evidence with a varying interest and second-rate
security and second-rate legal position, while the bond has a fixed interest or yield,
but first-rate security and first-class legal position. Often the
bond-capital represent the real values. The preference-shares often represent
the most likely profit-possibility and the ordinary share the hopes. By this
the share has stopped being a real evidence of some shares in certain real
goods. It has become a letter of right to varying profit, which value has to
be dependent of the amount of profit, its duration and security compared with
the general rate of interest. In this way the varying price of the share is
getting the primary interest, and speculations in the changing price is
becoming the deciding foundation for the owner. And remember that the right to vote at the general meeting has also
been split-up following the splitting-up of the capital. The share has then
been detached from its basic, the real goods of fortune that produces and at
the same time (but in reality pretty independent of this) also yields profit.
It dismantles further, and the “hot air-process” follows. You will understand that the share-holder to a high degree has been
separated from the business, from where he gets his profit. The example from
the French railroads was just an illustration. There are numerous ways. The worst happens when the public creates private limited companies or
join those, and steal the majority with new-printed notes. Notice, some convincing justifications
have always been carefully chosen in advance[3].
Anyway the holder of the ordinary shares will have difficulties to
judge anything, and as a difference of a few percents in the company can lead
to a doubling of the profit for the ordinary share-holder or totally disappear,
and as the board of directors and the management know the total profit long
before the share-holders, the last mentioned has actually been separated from
the company. But when the company – inspired by all the new capital as we shall
explain below – that has to make an effort to yield interest, to make things
effective (or monopolize) make business-fusions vertically and horizontally,
then the trust (and the public control or lack of the same) has been really
introduced to control what will happens then? Now the share-holder is just a lender,
whos position is unbelievable weak. The share has now character of the paper of gambling. The share-holder
cannot monitor the distant company that really produces: “I, who own a share in a
London finance-company that owns shares in South American diamond-trusts that
owns shares in individual mines” has no means to know anything of the
production and prospects. I have to buy after haven listen to rumours, and I
sell I panic. I have no human interest together with real producing units in
the company. Everything is unknown. You listen in City that they expect a
certain profit next year, I have no interest in honest work anymore. The
share has become a lottery ticket. But the share is not even owned by somebody. Through margin-payments you
can "own" a share by paying one tenth of the price, perhaps less. The
stockbroker or lombarding bank is in reality the owner[4]. What is turned over is just the one
tenth I paid. In this way the interest in the business is reduced further and
my interest in the price of the share overwhelming strong. The trade-off
between the interest, price-differences and the lending interest rate in the
bank is what concerns me now. The share-holder has stopped being a share-holder in the original
sense. He has nothing to do in production. The non-speculating holder of
share certificates, who owns and has paid his share entirely and has the
share for years, has gone. If you look at the
administration of the company, you find share-holders at the general meeting
who are entirely unprepared, and know nothing. The accounts are at best
opaque, and often uncorrect. The share-holders are simpletons as lambs and
are under normal conditions forced to be meek as such, because they know that
critics of the management of company are going to press the price on their
own shares. The share-holders therefore are incompetent to give their votes
with any sound reason. But most of the votes given at the general meeting are
not those of the non-speculators. The shares have been used to borrow money,
and the right to vote has been transferred to the bank, or a group of
finances by means borrowed in a bank which take possession of the majority of
shares by the famous ten percent payment, or the board of directors take the
power by buying the majority of shares in the days before the general
meeting. The board of directors whos interests are not those of the company,
and its actions are dictated by objectives that do not concern the running of
the company and a reasonable management. The management is not a crowd of
non-speculating representatives of shareholders. It has been elected by a
group of power that certainly do not own the capital, but it has been able to
pay just the tiny bit of the price of shares in majority. Often the financing
bank – that has financed the majority - points out the management of company.
Often the capital is simply owned by savers in the financing bank, without
they know it and can have their legal right. The group of finances is
certainly not the old type of share-holders and does certainly not represent
those. They are professionals with means not owned by themselves, they act as
irrelevant self-licenced masters of industry and are possessors of the
community’s capital. The management that is not dependent of the board of
directors leads to the fact that the management cannot act in the interests of
the company in the long run. It has taken what the bank or financing group
wanted, and seldom it is in the interest of the company. A newer illustrating Danish example: A report from one of the 4 directors
of the former Kosan-Group: In 1989 an agreement was made between the 4
biggest sister-companies in the Kosan-Group (among other me who sign this
report) that we should make a so-called MBO (Management Buy-Out), where we
should buy our mother-company. In this connection an agreement was made
(Agreement of 21 Mars 1989 (called a framework agreement in earlier
publications)). We agreed that (the bank) SDS should advice us and lend
us money to the buy. When Kosan had many hidden values, and the former owners
would sell relatively unexpensive to us directors, SDS decided to use us as
its front men and buy Kosan for itself. Relatively short after the buy the
Kosan-Group was stripped totally, and almost all the daughter-companies had
been sold. By this SDS earned a huge sum of money, but as it was clearly
against the agreement we had made, we directors naturally made protests. One the former directors in the
Kosan-group: All the manouevres of SDS have had the
one purpose to hide the break of the agreement and the unlawfullnesses of SDS
towards the public and the authorities. Instead of dealing with Kosan-affair with
the doors open in a courtroom it has been brought to an apply for
arbitration. We have told more details about the
Kosan–Stripping and the judgment in Danish on: http://www.lilliput-information.com/kosan.htm In reality nothing has changed since the 1920s. Try a Danish
horrifying example in line backward from Enron, Worldcom 2001-2002 a.o.: The (Danish) Agriculture
Bank. In Denmark a president of the bank had to buy up the majority
secretly to prevent himself from being thrown out. But it went further. To
the central bank. To the minister of finances, to the government. Nothing new
under the sun. The especially the small-holders and farmers had to bear the lost afterwards. The board of directors is no longer a functioning group. It is not
elected to do anything and it don’t. It represents outsider-interests
(presidents of banks, Industrial companies) that may be opposite. The board of directors is just
formally elected by the the general meeting, in reality it is pointed out by
the management that it actually should control. We have reached a point where
members of the board can be called “guinea pigs” – at first harmless and
functionless greedy animal and the seats of the board have become gifts
between directors. One director gets a seat in one board and another pay for
the seat by giving a seat to the other in another board. “Absentees” was a
most describing name in the 1920s Via the last mentioned precaution combined with the fact that the
finance-group has the right to vote we have reached the point, where our
economic life has got into the hands of a clique who’s power is deciding in
the community, stronger than every other power inclusive the state-power. It
exercise power alone in its own interests, and it is the narrowest interest
with the shortest term. It is bad enough that the economic life has fallen into the hands of
reckless crowd of men that do not even own the capital represented by their
shares, and the original share-holders
have become “players of differences”. But the worst is the price of the share
is not determined by the interior value (or physical value) of the company,
not even by the value of the profit considering the security and duration.
The share-holder forgets quickly. The worst is the prices have lost every
sound basic but appear as results of manoeuvres. New free shares will soon be delivered and with them the old and the new
will perhaps even rise above the price of the old. A little help is needed to do so, but we I shall explain it the next
paragraph. From then on a company is not established of technical-economic
reasons, but partly to collect power, partly caused by the founder’s profit.
The founder has created the idea about the new company, eventually the union
of more companies (eventually horizontal and vertical integration to get a
position closer to monopoly). He has to gather the persons in one company,
find a bank that will help, and find sponsors who will buy what cannot be
subscribed, agitate, negotiate about buying businesses and companies, put
them up with seats in the board and explain the expenditures of agitation. If
he succeed – you can read in the American reports – what powerful blocks of
shares he gets for his service with a seat in the board of directors too.
Capitalization has been passed through on: http://www.lilliput-information.com/kap/capital.html Upspeeding of the process: The process of capitalization is speeded up in a society, where
capital is an increasing condition for personal freedom and security in life.
When I buy a factory and pay for its physical value, I vouch for society not
just with what I own, but also for the profit that the capitalized goodwill -
the advantage that the business-connections including the customers means -
yields interest. Actually I work to get this interest of historical values
been earned in the business. If I succeed getting the profit up, I can hope to capitalize, what I
have added to the goodwill and perhaps some of the future profit myself, when
I convert the business to a private limited company or I sell it. But until
then I have to make myself a slave of the past in order to make the future a
slave of mine. To succed I have to reserve a part of the result in advance. That
means the prices on factors has to be reduced or the prices have to increased. This
presses me towards the position of monopoly, especially when I have the
factor-prices including the wages (except for my own) out of my grip. All
businessmen are in the same position. Imagine you sell a business that yearly gave you $6,000 besides wage
and interest. You sell it for $100,000 more than you paid (in a period of no
inflation). The business gives a profit of $6000, but the new owner will not
accept this small profit, because he has $100,000 more (than you had) that
have to yield profit. You have even capitalized you wage and some of the
future too. A good bookseller got a few hundred thousands to join “The Nordic
Publishing Firm”, when the Swedish Factories of Sugar was established a
director got 3 mill. to give up his position to get the integration of the
factories nearly 100 years ago. You go so far as to capitalize the profit you
expect from the integration via better technique and organization. The most
honest is just to issue “deferred shares” that do not yield profit automatically. As you will understand incentive to get closer to the position
monopoly, when big fusions are made,
is very typically. Fusions are one way of getting room for surplus
capitalization resulting in all kind peculiar transactions. By issuing bonds
is one way, and issuing of free shares is another. The masters’ finances
usually accept the last mentioned, because it concentrates the power further,
just like they accept high salaries and other unnecessary expenditures mostly
related to the directors and their agents. When capitalization (account the present values of a row of future
expected payments and take the amount out to private or other objects) reach
surplus capitalization, you simply capitalize without any consideration of
security and duration. The buying public taught by television and newspapers found it trendish for people to invest wild in
IT-shares “with eternal lasting future production-power” in the beginning of
the 1990s just like silver and gold mines together with railroads were the
hits in the late 1800s. Propaganda of media made people believe without any
understanding at all, believe in the game. All the capital received by the
businesses have to yield a profit in one or the other way. But often it can’t
within the limits of the company, mostly because very little truth has been
told publicly about the businesses as such production-organizati- ons.Remember:
when hear it on TV it is already much to late. But why
do the shares still increase, you would perhaps ask. Already a snow weather of paper demanding to be paid interest on. But
businesses cannot show an account related to those prices on the market of
shares. With a steady growth in the amount of money and the state-debt (that
we will go through below the next golden heading) financed by an ever growing
bunch of state-bonds, the mountain of paper just increases further. The secret is that the steady growth of the private capital is deeply
fateful for the society, and experiments to give tax-financed or
false-financed subsidies to alleviate the effects of the economic oligarchy
simply prevent the state to get rid of its debt. The result is inflation.
Inflation is the best friend of the private capital outside the production
and also the best friend of the professional politicians and their
servants. Then the share-prices increase further caused by the false purchasing
power. For those, who want to preserve the society is what count, to get the
private capital reduced and real capital increased. At last the only way out
is to destroy the real capital (the production), stop the state-machine. We
have explained what can be done before this has to happen on: http://www.lilliput-information.com/tida.html American examples from the late 1800
and the beginning of the 1900: The organ of the capitalization is the stock exchange. Its technique
centralizes at the splitting of the possession: The capitalization of one
company can may be expressed via 4-5 different papers: The share, formally a
business-owner-part, in reality is a second-class bond with varying interest or yield,
and a bond a first-class debt-evidence with fixed interest. In this sense the
share- and bondowners are both passive capitalists[5],
even though this term primary is used for the last mentioned. When $200 mill.
in preference shares were exchanged in the American Steel Trust Morgan and
his friends earned 4% in guarantee commission and 1% by buying preference
shares at a price below par. Of the $1400 mill. - today they count these
accounts in hundreds of billions cause by the problem that this reading is
dealing with – that was the capitalized value of this more than $700 was
hot air or water (call it what you feel like), and the other half was reality.
Starters, underwriters and the financing banks got $150 mill. (Morgan, Moore,
Carnegie and Rockefeller got a substantial part of this). Thanks to the
position of monopoly they were able to pay interest on the capital, even
though they had bought several mines that were not put in work for the time
being. Between the valuation made by the management of the Steel Trust and
the valuation made by the USA-Trust-Commission in 1910-12 of the possessions
of the trust in 1902, there was a difference of $775 mill. (1457 - 682). This huge surplus capitalization could not have been created without
inflation created in advance by the state and the banks.
From 1898 to 1914 and 1920 the circulation of means, gold, silver,
Greenbacks[6], other certificates[7]
and other bank notes increased from $2 bill. to respectively $3 2/3 and 6 1/3
bill. The circulation an individual accounted in a simple average was $17 in
1880, $35 in 1914 and $42 in 1924. On these amounts was founded a still
increasing credit. So the private fortune that amounted $90 bill. in 1900 got
closer to $200 in 1914 and $350 in 1920. The best helper of capitalization
was the inflation. The private capital (held free from the real activity of
production but allowed to earn profit) created by inflation is claimed by the
possessors to be remained under and after the reduction of credit that
followed (called deflation) and not by just by more the state-debt (this specific point
will get a paragraph of its own below). To pay interest on an overdone
capitalization every opportunity of monopoly are used, and that to such a degree
that you making appropriations can press the water or the hot air out of the share and
make substance (direct consumption-possibility) instead. In the first 10 year
with the Steel Trust it earned $1100 mill. of which the owner of bonds got 284
and the share-holders $394 mill., while the $422 mill. were placed as profit.
For 14 years the profit of the Steel Trust was the same as its
capitalization. The capital of the Trust of Tobacco increased from 25 to $325 mill.
from 1890-1910 of which $150 mill. represented goodwill. A single stick of
plant under the Trust W. Duke & Sons was valued to $½ mill. in 1885.
Without any other increase than appropriations. The company was capitalized to $25 mill. before WWI, in 25 years there
has been paid about $20 mill. to the share-holder and bond-owners. All in all
Duke’s $½ mill has multiplied up to $45 mill. These amounts are mainly gone
into the pockets of Mr. Duke and 8-9 men of finances. The procedure has been
the same: When competition dominates the profit is held down, thereafter a
company is established. This company releases the share-holders of the small
companies with its own obligations. When the competition has stopped and the
monopoly has been established the profit is driven up in the new company.
This extra-profit is then surplus capitalized in the way that ordinary
shares, shares of preference and bonds of an enormous amount are issued on this basic. Then you continue the
exchange of shares for bonds and the other way round to create a foundation
for the manoeuvres that can give profit. The men of finances still get their
original payment back, because the amount of bonds corresponds to it. They
get their profit by selling the preference shares and still stay in power in
the company by keeping the most of the ordinary shares by those the right to
vote is left. To get the system to function optimal the right of voting have
to be limited to relatively small circle. In many countries it is forbidden
to separate the owner-ship of the shares from right to vote. In Denmark for
example the right to vote connected to shares that have been borrowed on
often have been handed over to mortgagee, mainly the bank. To read how our industry (in USA or Europe) was
financed earlier you can go to the (Danish) Bank Commission’s report of 1923.
We have made a short summary: The same is happening right now (2001-2003). http://www.lilliput-information.com/app3.html The process of capitalization is made easier by the system with
holding or trust companies and daughter companies. A holding company owns the
majority of shares in a paper-trust and a cellulose-trust and eventually in a
newspaper-trust and paper-machine-trust. Each of trusts often has one or more
factories, but their most important assets is the majority of shares in each
factory that again is able to secure the majority in each of their helping
industries or the share-majority in
the industries, that buys their products. Most developed was the system in
South Africas mining industry, where you often found a 4-5 links
organization. 3-4 companies prevent outsiders from make a even a rough
estimate of the value of the shares in the producing companies. The process
of capitalization then runs without a reasonable participation from the side
of the public. The Danish parallel to John Law’s Missisissippi-companies is
without any doubt the Transatlantic Company, that went bankruptcy and took the
(Danish) Agriculture Bank with in its fall 1923.
The growth of private capital [8]
by state-debt
Production in one
end and consumption in another end. Consumption and
taxes remove the real capital from production to private capital (outside
production), and most of it to final consumption. There is dilemma concerning
the capital formation. The capital moves to where it earns the most. So if
state-debt (in form of bonds) yields the biggest profit, capital knows its
destination. But while state-debt and inflation have their impacts, the
money-owners are not especially interested in too much growth in the real
capital anymore, because this decreases the rate of interest and leave the
passive interest-earners with smaller incomes from passive interest-income.
The taxes and the public
expenditures then (also if it has not been paid finally yet) drain the
purchasing-power out of production, and the false means of inflation
including stagflation filled hot air in the prices on the stockmarket and
ends in private capital at last. It also removes the initiative away from the
production that should have been serving the employment-purpose and the
future consumption. You may use artificial snow, but at a
moment you have to remove it again, and it is troublesome the more snow there
is. Natural snow disappear without further. If it stays because the snow
is still falling, then you can take it away in a wheel-barrow by running
several times. You don’t have to remove the snow you already have removed. If a war destroys the real capital of for example 500 billion the need
for capital will lead to higher interest rate. In this situation state-loans
are preferred by the money-owners. While the real capital is being destroyed
the private capital as an interest-source is fixed, while the real capital is
being re-established by issuing of 500 billion of traditional state-bonds.
Perhaps even more is issued taken into account that the bond is issued at
price less than 100, and because the state has consumed a lot of capital in
the war exclusive the price of the destroyed real capital. The prices on
commodities have then been driven up and to give bigger profits. A higher
interest-earning from the private capital, and a bigger yield from the
state-bonds that replaced the destroyed real capital as a source of earning. The money-owner looks through the eyes of the bank and does not
understand that not just the wages but also the profits are depreciated by
the higher interest rate. His higher nominal interest earning simply gets a
smaller purchasing-power, if he is not participating in the future pay-back.
He simply acts as if he thinks: “I can eat the cake and still have a
bigger piece of the cake left than before.”
The world stands in the sign of the huge paper-fortune. From the
state-power and the high finance there has been thrown hot air-filled papers
of face-value out over the world. Those papers demand payments of interest, they
don’t leave the actors of the active production any or enough scope. They disturb
both the ideal and the material measures of value, and it also seems as if
they make the so-called business circles swing more frequently and more
severe with bigger amplitudes, and they threaten to end up by entirely disorganize the production.
It had happened several times before. But not in your lifetime.
The taxes and the public expenditures drain
the purchasing-power out of production, and the false means of inflation
including stagflation filled in the exchanges on stockmarket at last
also removes the intiative, the production, the employment and the
future consumption. The Bourgeois
Kondratiev (1843-1897): After 1842, the boom reemerged and a new Kondratiev wave
began, this one as a result of the railroadization in Northern Europe and
America and the accompanying expansion in the coal and iron industries. The
boom ended approximately in 1857 when it turned into a recession. The
recession turned into a depression into 1870, which lasted until about 1885.
The recovery began after that and lasted until 1897. The Neo-Mercantilist Kondratiev (1898-1950?): The boom began about 1898 with the expansion of electric power and the automobile industry and lasted until about 1911. The recession which followed turned into depression in about 1925 which lasted until around 1935. We can assume, that this third wave entered into a recovery immediately afterwards the one that we might suspect lasted until around 1950. Is it not funny? American crises
late in 1800s and the beginning of 1900s: By the time of the
Civil War, the United States already had experienced two major economic
depressions, the panics of 1819 and 1837. By 1873 postwar expansion,
especially of railroads, a drop in European demand for United States farm
produce, speculation and market manipulation by a few individuals, and the
failure of the large banking house of J. Cooke brought on a depression that
lasted from 1873 to 1878. (end of mainstream
history) Some
people did want help from the federal government in controlling the business
cycle. These people suggested the government should increase the money supply
either by adding coins of silver to those of gold in order to increase the specie
supply or by issuing paper money. Throughout the 19th century and until the
United States abandoned gold as the basis of the money supply in 1933, there
were many proposals for coining silver and issuing Greenbacks that were
inconvertible paper money. At times these requests were accepted. For
instance, the Union issued large numbers of Greenbacks to help pay for the
Civil War. When these Greenbacks were recalled, and only specie became
correct currency, there was a major impact on the money supply that helped
precipitate the depression of 1873.
The government's
concern for the debt payment and its desire to maintain a strong credit
rating prolonged the crisis, which began with a fall in security prices, what
today is called “a fast plunge” on Wall Street.
The inflation in the mid 1890s combined with high unemployment in USA[9]
and continued into the 1900s is closely connected to new discoveries of gold
in South Africa, Western Australia and Klondike between 1887 and 1896. The causes of the 1873-depression was too much expansion, speculation,
bankruptcy-make a pattern that has repeated itself throughout United States
history, but in each case the details are somewhat different. After the New
Deal in the 20th century, the federal government has been actively involved
in attempts to avoid or control the ups and downs i.e. cyclical movement of
the business cycle, but the cycle in the rest of the Keynesian world continues
to move up and down. However, the 19th century business philosophy of
laissez-faire, supported by the attitudes of the Social Darwinists (a link to Darwin in Danish),
called for no government interference in the then unknown economic cycle,
which in the following century, especially after Keynes was considered
"natural", definitely close to a part of the law of nature. Is it not funny? Now to the more or less
incoherent financial facts of history: Long before the Battle of Jena 1806 the elector of Hessen-Cassel
Wilhelm IX and his ancestors had been the unofficial lenders to Princes of
Europe. But the latest and most giving business was selling of young European
tramps and soldiers of fortune to fight in the wars, and especially the War
of (In)dependence in America on the British side. The British government
financed the war with credit in form of bills of exchange. Mayer Amschel was appointed to Agent of Court in Chief by the elector.
Europe, towards the
end of the eighteenth century, at the time of the American Revolution (The
War Of (In-)dependence), was very different from what we know of the same
area today. It was composed oil a combination of large and small kingdoms,
duchies and states which were constantly engaged in squabbles among each
other. Most people were reduced to the level of serfs - with no political
rights. The meager 'privileges' that were granted to them by their 'owners'
could be withdrawn at a moment's notice. It was during this period of
time that a young man appeared on the European scene who was to have a
tremendous impact on the future course of world history; his name was Mayer
Amschel Bauer. In later years his name, which he had changed, became
synonymous with wealth, power and influence. He was the first of the
Rothschilds - the first truly international banker! Just before (Napoleon’s) Marschal Augereau occupied Frankfurt January
23th 1806 and required 4 mill. franc from the citizens who he claimed had
been trading English products. Mayer Amschel (Rothschild) in Frankfurt had
got the assignment to secure the fortune of the Elector. As the first Nathan
exported secretly contraband to France and other countries on the continent
occupied by Napoleon. Products of cotton, yarns, tobacco, coffee, sugar and
indigo to sky-high black market prices. For ten years (1800-1810) the
Rothschild family succeed with this business. At the same time the European apparently was falling into the hands of
Napoleon exorbitant sums had left for England, where one of Mayer Amschel’s
five sons Nathan Mayer already resided as a prince of finances, and Wilhelm
was brought in exile in Slesvig near the border to Denmark, later on in
Denmark and in Pragh. All the states of Europe owed enormous - outside almost
any imagination - amounts to Wilhelm, but Napoleon had now occupied almost every
one of them. From 1806 the fortune of Wilhelm IX and also the fortunes of other
continential creditors had been moved to London, and a good deal of it in the
hands of Nathan Mayer, one the Rothschild-sons that had moved from the
textile area Manchester to London in 1804, N. M. Rothschild and Sons became
the name of business. From the late 1810 the family transferred their
investments – also the ones of Wilhelm’s, but in the name of Rothschild – to
capital-investments. Nathan used the opportunities that Napoleon had given
him. His highness got British state-bonds in returned. Mainstream
History: Mayer Amschel Rothschild sent
some of William's money to his son Nathan in London, and according to the Jewish
Encyclopedia: "Nathan invested it in 800,000 pounds of gold from the
East India Company, knowing it would be needed for Wellington's peninsula
campaign. He made not less than four profits: (l) on the sale of Wellington's
paper (which he bought at 50¢ on the dollar); (2) on the sale of gold to
Wellington; (3) on its repurchase; and (4) on forwarding it to Portugal. This
was the beginning of the great fortune." (end of mainstream history) Gold bullions were also smuggled by Nathan and his brother James
Rothschild in Paris to Wellington in huge amounts, so the small amount
mentioned in the last paragraph soon seemed to be nothing. Every day he was
out and in with the Elector’s British pounds. Nathan had been in England for
7 years then, and officially his fortune (but especially the one of the
Elector’s) had increased enormously, his own credit as well. In the period 1811-1815 Nathan Mayer Rothschild and J. C. Herries also
transferred £ 42.5 mill. in gold safely to Wellingtons army in Spain with the
help of Nathan’s brother James in Paris (established in Paris from Mars 24th
1811) and through France. Try for a moment to compare this amount with
circulation of notes and the covering fond in England as a whole in the same
years ( read the mentioned
in part 1 and then just click “back”). While Napoleon fought and lost in
Russia, the gold flowed through France to Wellington who also stopped Napoleon
at Waterloo. The Battle of Waterloo was fought from 11:25 A.M. until, about 10 P.M.
on Sunday 18 June 1815. That Battle made England the leading power of Europe
and Nathan Rothschild (1777-1836) the most influencial figure of his time.
The hard work began long before. As soon as the five Rothschild–brothers were
well established in Frankfurt, Vienna, Paris, Naples and London they began to
develop their own news service (in London Rothschild could send his
blue-dressed couriers to Rio, Toronto or Nairobi without warning until WW2).
They simply built their own intelligence service much more effective than
those of governments. No news was as valuable to the speculators as the news of the outcome
of the Battle of Waterloo. For several days London listened. If Napoleon won
the price of English government-bonds inevitably would fall. Did England win
Napoleon’s empire would fall and the bonds would rise. The fate of Europe was
covered in smoke. At breakfast Monday 19 June 1815 a Rothschild-agent
Rothworth went from Ghent to Folkestone on the English coast in a fast fisher
boat. He reported to Nathan Rothschild at 2 New Court, St. Switin’s Lane in
City, London, then dashed to lord Liverpool’s house in Westminster: the Prime
Minister got the news at two in the afternoon. The dispath of Wellington, who
had be active in the war the day before and rowed across the Channel, reached
London at ten in the evening, went to Earl Bathurst’s House in Grosvenors
Square, where the cabinet was dining, then went down to St. James’s to
present the eagles to the Prince of Wales. With this knowledge made public everyone would have known that the
English government-bonds now would rise instead of fall (if Napoleon had
won), so everyone else would have bought government-bonds. But Nathan
Rothschild had planned to make a so-called corner. He began to sell
government-bonds leaning to the pillar where he used to stand. His face was
without any expression at all, so it was interpreted as an English defeat at
Waterloo against Napoleon. All his agents, just known by himself, also sold
bonds and other papers. “Rothschild knows”, it was whispered. He did know,
but not what the others were meant to fear of. The prices went down and down,
the market collapsed. The prices fell from minute to minute, there was no
botton. The solid and strongest bank houses began to stagger. The papers literally
did somersaults. But the deathly pale Nathan (he had not slept the night before) was
laughing in his mind behind his face. Secretely he ordered his agents (just
known by himself) to begin to buy instead of selling. Seven hours after
Rothworth had informed the British government of the outcome of the Battle of
Waterloo Wellington’s dispath arrived with the same information and at the
same time announced that Blücher had won at Ligny. Rothschild was the one who
reported it for the Stock Exchange. The prices then went up rapidly and
reached unknown highs till then. This gave the Rothschild family
complete control of the British economy. This was neither the first nor the last corner made by the World
Champion of specu-lation and state-loans. In the repercussions of the fine Congress of Vienna a now forgotten
supplementary-congress had to be held in Aix-la-Chapelle (now the German
Achen, where besides the Neanderthal man was found). Everything so-called
necessary always (when you forget “thanks” and “apologizes”) has a financial
side. The congress is called the forgotten one, so perhaps we were not meant to
remind the reader about it. November 1818: Ludwig the Eighteenth literally borrowed the restoration of the
Bourbon’s magnificence by Nathan and James Rothschild. He had received
advances of British money orders to finance his glorious entry in Paris in
1814. In 1818 the old financiers had returned, and the Rothschilds were not
counted in in this connection. They were considered upstarts. Napoleon started with a debt of about 2 billion francs. In 1815 the
allied demanded 700 mill. francs of reparation and demanded 400 mill. francs
to cover their expenditures of occupation. The new French government needed a
loan of 350 mill. French francs. It was contracted by Ouvrard and British
Baring Brothers. In 1818 the negociations about much bigger financial deal
were started, an extra loan of 270 mill. francs. Again Ouvrard and the Baring
Brothers were in favour, but the loan should finance some of the French reparation
expenditures. The Rothschilds tried to buy some influence, but nothing
apparently helped until the French state-bonds began to fall from 5 November
after having been risen for the last year. Another corner and still not the last. Day after day the fall was steeper. Other value-papers began to
stagger too. The collapse was threatening, not just in France but all over
the European mainland. Suddenly the scene in the Aix
palace changed. The Rothschilds, who were patiently biding their time and waiting
quietly in an ante room, were ushered into the presence of the king. They
were now the center of attention. Their clothes were now the height of
fashion. "Their money [was] the darling of the best borrowers." The
Rothschilds had gained control of France,
and control is the precise name of the game! Benjamin Disraeli, who was the
prime minister of Britain, wrote a novel titled Coningsby. The Jewish
Encyclopedia, Vol. 10, pp. 501, 5O2 describes the book as "an ideal
portrait" of the Rothschild Empire. Disraeli characterized Nathan (in
conjunction with his four brothers) as "the lord and master of the money
markets of the world, and of course virtually lord and master of everything
else. He literally held the revenues of southern Italy in pawn, and monarchs
and ministers of all countries courted his advice and were guided by his
suggestions." Furst Metternich, the duke of Richelieu, furst Hardenberg and even
lord Castlereigh did what they had to do. A new era had begun. Britain
alone on some doubtful Gold Standard for 100 years without and 100 years with law: With the growth of foreign commerce, financial innovations were quick
to appear. The bill of exchange was introduced early, and by the fourteenth
century a simple multilateral clearing system had been established. Multilateralism,
at least of the a primitive type, had been a major feature of international
economic relations for centuries. Much later, during the 17th and
18th century: The first “forwarded” exchange markets were developed
to overcome the uncertainty of future movements in the ‘spot’ rate of
exchange, so reducing the risks inherent in fluctuating exchange rates. By this time Amsterdam had become the most important foreign exchange
market in the world, closely followed by London, which was fast assuming a
major and growing role in world finance in the 18th century. So
foreign exchange markets were very developed in the beginning of 19th
century, both concerning their operations, the financing of foreign trade and
other international dealings. All commercial and financial transactions,
including autonomous capital flows into and out of a country, investment
income or simply goods in return. In the 19th century Japan became
a industrial nation, and USA’s part of the world trade was growing strongly
effected by the uniting of the American states to one nation and the inventions. Britain was alone on gold standard de jure for both domestic
and international dealings from 1821. Most other major trading nations at this
time were operating either a bimetallic standard, for example France and the
United States, or a silver standard, as were most other European countries. Thus triangular payments system comprising the United Kingdom, Western
Europe and the Baltic countries had dominated Northern Europe’s trade for
many years, and the “slave” triangle, linking Britain, Africa and West Indies
provided another example of this type of trading pattern. Other triangular
trading systems developed during the first half of 19th century.
By the 1860s, for example, Britain’s trade deficits with United States were
largely covered by her surpluses with Latin America, and a British deficit in
the trade with China was offset by the a surplus with India. When foreign capital flows from one country to another, its transfer
may be effected in several ways, for example through a shift of gold from
lending to borrowing country, through an increase in the capital receiving
country’s import from the lending country (or from other countries), or
through a decline in the borrower’s export such that the trade balance
becomes more unfavourable. Gold flows and reduced exports rarely effectted
the transfers during the late 19th century, and for most part the
transfers of capital from lending to borrowing countries took the form of
increased commodity imports by capital receiving countries. Nothing in the accounts from the 18th century and just a tiny bit from the 19th
shows us how
much of the transfers of gold originated from an equalization concerning
trade deficits and trade surplus on the balance of payment or from foreign
investments or loans.
An answer to the question was given by the classical economists, David
Hume, Adam Smith, and J. S. Mill, who worked out the price-specie-flow
mechanism. According to this explanation, prices changes induced by gold
flows were supposed to bring about the adjustment. Suppose a country develops
a balance of payments deficit because of excessive imports and proceeds to
export gold to cover this excess. This loss of gold will reduce the domestic
money supply, since either gold circulates as money in the country or the
banking system keeps the country’s internal supply of money adjusted to the
quantity of its gold reserves. A decrease in the domestic money supply will
lead to a decline in commodity prices, since less spending with output
unchanged means lower prices. Lower prices for goods will in turn increase
exports, as foreigners find the country a cheaper place in which to buy.
Lower domestic prices will also reduce imports, since domestic substitutes
foreign goods as they got cheaper relative to foreign supplies. In the
gold-receiving country the process is reversed. Those were the mainstream explanations. A supplement of facts: Systems of stability-funds that let the gold - in question deficits
and surplus on the balances of payments - circulate between certain
trading-partners and no circulation through other channels also existed. Read
the next paragraph in the light of this. |